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  • John Markle posted an update 7 years ago

    This is leading up to

    Aloft…At 500 hpa…A 494 dam low 200 nm northwest of Wrangel
    Island remains quasi stationary through Thursday morning, then
    moves east across the Arctic over 75N through Saturday afternoon,
    then into the Beaufort Sea Saturday evening. A wave associated
    with the low extends over Wainwright to Central to Yakutat and
    will move east into the Yukon Territory tonight. A stronger
    wave lies from the low over the Chukotsk Peninsula and just west
    of St Lawrence and St Matthew Islands this afternoon and will move
    east to lie over Point Lay to Stebbins to Nikolski early Thursday
    morning, and over the interior Thursday afternoon as it lies from
    just east of Barrow to Bettles to Kodiak City, the wave slows as
    it moves over the Eastern Interior, but will move over the Yukon
    Territory Friday morning. As the wave moves east ridging builds
    over the Central Bering Sea and the Gulf of Anadyr Friday morning
    with a 576 dam high moving over the Central Aleutians and 540 dam
    heights being pushed north over the southern Chukchi Sea Friday.
    The ridge rotates east over mainland Alaska with the axis lying
    from Dutch Harbor to Unalakleet to Point Lay and north over the
    Arctic Saturday morning, and by Sunday morning it will extend over
    the Gulf of Alaska and wrap around over the Yukon Territory. A 513
    dam low will develop over Central Siberia Friday evening moving
    over the Chukchi Sea by Saturday evening, then dives southeast
    across mainland Alaska to be over the Copper River Basin by Sunday
    afternoon. At 850 hpa…Temperatures will continue to fall the
    next few days to around -10C, and to -10C to -20C by Friday
    morning. Expect a slight warmup on Saturday to around -10C, then
    significant cooling starting Sunday.

    This for us on the week end

    Special Weather Statement
    National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
    324 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2017

    AKZ218>226-092100-
    Southeastern Brooks Range-Upper Koyukuk Valley-
    Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands-Central Interior-
    Middle Tanana Valley-Deltana and Tanana Flats-
    Upper Tanana Valley and the Fortymile Country-Denali-
    Eastern Alaska Range-
    Including Arctic Village, Wiseman, Coldfoot, Chandalar DOT Camp,
    Iniakuk Lake, Allakaket, Hughes, Bettles, Caribou Mountain,
    Gobblers Knob, Fort Yukon, Venetie, Central, Circle,
    Stevens Village, Beaver, Chalkyitsik, Birch Creek,
    Circle Hot Springs, Eagle Summit, Twelvemile Summit, Nenana,
    Anderson, Tanana, Minto, Manley Hot Springs, Rampart,
    Lake Minchumina, Livengood, Fairbanks, Fort Wainwright,
    Eielson AFB, Ester, North Pole, Moose Creek, Two Rivers, Fox,
    Chatanika, Chena Hot Springs, Sourdough Camp, Salcha,
    Delta Junction, Fort Greely, Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek,
    Dot Lake, Healy Lake, Tok, Tanacross, Eagle, Tetlin, Northway,
    Alcan, Chicken, Boundary, Healy, Denali National Park,
    Carlo Creek, Kantishna, Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids,
    Donnelly Dome, Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
    324 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2017

    …Strong Winter Storm Headed for Interior Alaska Saturday night
    and Sunday…

    A strong Winter Storm will move southeast into Interior Alaska
    bringing near blizzard conditions to some areas and the potential
    for 4 to 16 inches of snow, with the heaviest snow in the Alaska
    Range.

    The storm develops over Siberia Friday and moves rapidly into the
    Chukchi Sea by Saturday morning then across the Interior Saturday
    night and Sunday.

    Strong west to northwest winds will accompany the storm with
    winds 20 to 30 mph gusting to 45 mph over higher terrain and
    exposed areas. The greater Fairbanks area at this time can expect
    winds 10 to 20 mph gusting to around 30 mph in the hills with
    winds gusting to 25 mph in the valley.

    Heavy snow will spread east across the Interior area with
    snowfall totals in Fairbanks and vicinity 4 to 8 inches. Near
    blizzard conditions over summits on the Steese, Elliott, Dalton,
    and Parks Highways will greatly impact travel Saturday night into
    Sunday.

    Forecast model guidance has been consistent the last couple days
    and confidence remains high that this event will bring
    significant snow to the interior. The forecast for the winds
    indicates they will be weaker than previously expected, but will
    still be strong enough to reduce visibility in blowing snow and
    topple weakened trees.

    Potential impacts from this event include very poor driving
    conditions, downed trees, and power outages.

    Residents should prepare now for this event. For the latest
    forecasts go to http://www.weather.gov/fairbanks

    $$

    So looks like an fun time ahead. Need to refuel the genset and Kubota then sit back and watch the white whirling mess.