Activity

This is leading up to

Aloft…At 500 hpa…A 494 dam low 200 nm northwest of Wrangel
Island remains quasi stationary through Thursday morning, then
moves east across the Arctic over 75N through Saturday afternoon,
then into the Beaufort Sea Saturday evening. A wave associated
with the low extends over Wainwright to Central to Yakutat and
will move east into the Yukon Territory tonight. A stronger
wave lies from the low over the Chukotsk Peninsula and just west
of St Lawrence and St Matthew Islands this afternoon and will move
east to lie over Point Lay to Stebbins to Nikolski early Thursday
morning, and over the interior Thursday afternoon as it lies from
just east of Barrow to Bettles to Kodiak City, the wave slows as
it moves over the Eastern Interior, but will move over the Yukon
Territory Friday morning. As the wave moves east ridging builds
over the Central Bering Sea and the Gulf of Anadyr Friday morning
with a 576 dam high moving over the Central Aleutians and 540 dam
heights being pushed north over the southern Chukchi Sea Friday.
The ridge rotates east over mainland Alaska with the axis lying
from Dutch Harbor to Unalakleet to Point Lay and north over the
Arctic Saturday morning, and by Sunday morning it will extend over
the Gulf of Alaska and wrap around over the Yukon Territory. A 513
dam low will develop over Central Siberia Friday evening moving
over the Chukchi Sea by Saturday evening, then dives southeast
across mainland Alaska to be over the Copper River Basin by Sunday
afternoon. At 850 hpa…Temperatures will continue to fall the
next few days to around -10C, and to -10C to -20C by Friday
morning. Expect a slight warmup on Saturday to around -10C, then
significant cooling starting Sunday.

This for us on the week end

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
324 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2017

AKZ218>226-092100-
Southeastern Brooks Range-Upper Koyukuk Valley-
Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands-Central Interior-
Middle Tanana Valley-Deltana and Tanana Flats-
Upper Tanana Valley and the Fortymile Country-Denali-
Eastern Alaska Range-
Including Arctic Village, Wiseman, Coldfoot, Chandalar DOT Camp,
Iniakuk Lake, Allakaket, Hughes, Bettles, Caribou Mountain,
Gobblers Knob, Fort Yukon, Venetie, Central, Circle,
Stevens Village, Beaver, Chalkyitsik, Birch Creek,
Circle Hot Springs, Eagle Summit, Twelvemile Summit, Nenana,
Anderson, Tanana, Minto, Manley Hot Springs, Rampart,
Lake Minchumina, Livengood, Fairbanks, Fort Wainwright,
Eielson AFB, Ester, North Pole, Moose Creek, Two Rivers, Fox,
Chatanika, Chena Hot Springs, Sourdough Camp, Salcha,
Delta Junction, Fort Greely, Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek,
Dot Lake, Healy Lake, Tok, Tanacross, Eagle, Tetlin, Northway,
Alcan, Chicken, Boundary, Healy, Denali National Park,
Carlo Creek, Kantishna, Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids,
Donnelly Dome, Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake
324 PM AKST Wed Nov 8 2017

…Strong Winter Storm Headed for Interior Alaska Saturday night
and Sunday…

A strong Winter Storm will move southeast into Interior Alaska
bringing near blizzard conditions to some areas and the potential
for 4 to 16 inches of snow, with the heaviest snow in the Alaska
Range.

The storm develops over Siberia Friday and moves rapidly into the
Chukchi Sea by Saturday morning then across the Interior Saturday
night and Sunday.

Strong west to northwest winds will accompany the storm with
winds 20 to 30 mph gusting to 45 mph over higher terrain and
exposed areas. The greater Fairbanks area at this time can expect
winds 10 to 20 mph gusting to around 30 mph in the hills with
winds gusting to 25 mph in the valley.

Heavy snow will spread east across the Interior area with
snowfall totals in Fairbanks and vicinity 4 to 8 inches. Near
blizzard conditions over summits on the Steese, Elliott, Dalton,
and Parks Highways will greatly impact travel Saturday night into
Sunday.

Forecast model guidance has been consistent the last couple days
and confidence remains high that this event will bring
significant snow to the interior. The forecast for the winds
indicates they will be weaker than previously expected, but will
still be strong enough to reduce visibility in blowing snow and
topple weakened trees.

Potential impacts from this event include very poor driving
conditions, downed trees, and power outages.

Residents should prepare now for this event. For the latest
forecasts go to http://www.weather.gov/fairbanks

$$

So looks like an fun time ahead. Need to refuel the genset and Kubota then sit back and watch the white whirling mess.